Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Portland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.6% | 90.4% | +12.3 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland State Vikings +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Skytta | 39 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 6 | +5.7 |
| Michael Wilson | 34 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +7.6 |
| EJ Neal | 28 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +5.1 |
| Jacob Holt | 26 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4.1 |
| Leo Ricketts | 21 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +14.8 |
| Bailey Nunn | 19 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -9.1 |
| Lachlan Brewer | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Chudi Dioramma | 14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | +0.6 |
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qiant Myers | 38 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 12 | -5.0 |
| Isaiah Johnson | 36 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 15 | -4.5 |
| Jaylin Henderson | 31 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Hayden Curtiss | 28 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -10.7 |
| T. Minott | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Terri Miller Jr. | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +6.8 |
| Cole Farrell | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -4.5 |
| Kelcy Phipps | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +0.7 |
| Shane Nowell | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
* = starter