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2025-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Portland State Vikings Spread Result
Elo 75.9% 24.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 58.9% 41.1% - โœ—
Margin 50.2% 49.8% -0.0 โœ— (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 57.6% 42.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 57.6% 42.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 49.3% 50.7% - โœ“

Actual: Portland State Vikings +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Moore 37 2-9 2-7 2-2 1 3 1 0 2 8 2 -10.3
Money Williams 36 11-22 2-10 12-15 4 3 1 0 5 36 17 -4.4
Brandon Whitney 33 1-2 0-1 4-4 3 1 0 0 1 6 7 -10.6
Austin Patterson 32 1-3 1-3 2-2 6 1 0 1 0 5 10 +1.7
Te'Jon Sawyer 31 5-8 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 3 3 10 10 -8.2
Joe Pridgen 29 3-8 0-1 1-3 8 0 1 1 1 7 8 -8.8
Kai Johnson 24 2-8 0-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 4 2 +1.1
Amari Jedkins 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Qiant Myers 42 6-14 3-4 4-9 2 5 1 1 4 19 10 +12.3
Jaylin Henderson 41 3-12 2-4 3-4 4 0 1 0 0 11 4 +8.5
Isaiah Johnson 40 4-7 0-1 5-9 7 1 1 0 3 13 12 +8.6
Terri Miller Jr. 29 8-15 0-0 5-7 11 2 0 2 2 21 19 +18.4
T. Minott 25 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 2 0 0 7 -
Hayden Curtiss 22 1-5 1-1 2-4 7 1 0 1 0 5 9 +1.2
Cole Farrell 14 1-4 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 4 1 -8.8
Shane Nowell 8 2-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 +1.1
Kelcy Phipps 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 +0.1

* = starter