Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Portland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | +0.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland State Vikings +17 (69-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Zephir | 29 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9.1 |
| Sam Lecholat | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6.2 |
| Tyler Patterson | 25 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | -7.9 |
| Patrick McMahon | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -11.5 |
| Brandon Walker | 21 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 2-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | -11.5 |
| Max Agbonkpolo | 19 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -6.4 |
| Jabe Mullins | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -12.6 |
| Chika Nduka | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Jed Miller | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.8 |
| Brian Goracke | 11 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | -2.6 |
| BJ Kolly | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.9 |
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Johnson | 37 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | +9.1 |
| Qiant Myers | 32 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +10.6 |
| T. Minott | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Jaylin Henderson | 30 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +13.9 |
| Cole Farrell | 25 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +14.4 |
| Terri Miller Jr. | 20 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Hayden Curtiss | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +18.7 |
| Kelcy Phipps | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter