Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Portland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland State Vikings +12 (58-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Towt | 37 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -11.9 |
| Trent McLaughlin | 37 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | -10.6 |
| Jayden Jackson | 36 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | -10.9 |
| Diego Campisano | 35 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | -3.9 |
| Dillan Baker | 22 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -10.2 |
| Monty Bowser | 20 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | +1.4 |
| Leigh Rickwood-Pitt | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Ryan Abelman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.8 |
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Minott | 37 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Jaylin Henderson | 36 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +18.7 |
| Qiant Myers | 35 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 0 | +14.5 |
| Terri Miller Jr. | 29 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +18.1 |
| Isaiah Johnson | 25 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | +7.3 |
| Cole Farrell | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.4 |
| Hayden Curtiss | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.3 |
| Kelcy Phipps | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -10.1 |
| Shane Nowell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.8 |
* = starter