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2025-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Portland State Vikings Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 13.7% 86.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.2% 71.8% - โœ“
Margin 26.6% 73.4% +5.6 โœ“ (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 36.4% 63.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 36.4% 63.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.4% 62.6% - โœ“

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +14 (92-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylin Henderson 37 4-8 1-3 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 10 7 -3.2
Qiant Myers 36 11-18 1-6 5-9 1 4 0 1 4 28 12 -10.9
Isaiah Johnson 33 2-6 0-0 2-2 3 3 2 0 0 6 8 -14.8
Terri Miller Jr. 27 10-15 3-5 2-2 6 1 0 1 2 25 16 -1.0
T. Minott 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 2 6 -
Cole Farrell 19 1-3 0-1 1-1 0 1 0 0 1 3 0 +1.4
Shane Nowell 16 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 1 0 4 5 -6.4
Kelcy Phipps 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -7.6
Isaac Brice 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.1

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Whitney 33 8-9 0-0 3-4 1 4 1 0 0 19 16 +23.5
Joe Pridgen 32 6-11 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 1 1 14 9 +17.2
Money Williams 26 5-12 0-3 2-2 8 6 1 0 4 12 11 +19.1
Malik Moore 25 5-8 3-4 2-2 1 3 1 1 2 15 11 -8.8
Kai Johnson 23 4-8 1-2 1-1 3 0 1 0 1 10 5 +7.9
Amari Jedkins 21 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 3 7 +14.5
Te'Jon Sawyer 19 4-4 3-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 11 12 -1.7
Austin Patterson 14 2-2 2-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 8 5 -2.3
Jalen Foy 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 +4.0
Jensen Bradtke 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.8
Adam Shoff 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter