Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Portland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland State Vikings +17 (76-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Darling | 37 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 2 | -16.6 |
| Isaiah Griffin | 33 | 3-14 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | -11.4 |
| Jake O'Neil | 31 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -1 | -18.1 |
| Jackson Greene | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -4.3 |
| Connor Hollenbeck | 21 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3 | -18.5 |
| Blake Daberkow | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +2.0 |
| Evan Otten | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -11.7 |
| AJ Burgin | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Quentin Meza | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Jaedyn Brown | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Joey Madimba | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +2.0 |
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Henderson | 37 | 12-18 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 18 | +23.7 |
| Qiant Myers | 34 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | +22.2 |
| Isaiah Johnson | 32 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +15.5 |
| T. Minott | 31 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Terri Miller Jr. | 29 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 16 | +0.6 |
| Cole Farrell | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +7.1 |
| Shane Nowell | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +7.0 |
| Kelcy Phipps | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.8 |
| Isaac Brice | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
* = starter