Model Predictions
| Model | Portland State Vikings | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.6% | 53.4% | +0.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -11 (69-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Henderson | 38 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +12.7 |
| Qiant Myers | 38 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | +12.3 |
| Isaiah Johnson | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | -4.0 |
| Cole Farrell | 29 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +13.8 |
| T. Minott | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Terri Miller Jr. | 19 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +9.3 |
| Shane Nowell | 14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +5.2 |
| Kelcy Phipps | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Isaac Brice | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.1 |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent McLaughlin | 39 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | -11.2 |
| Carson Towt | 38 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 26 | -9.5 |
| Jayden Jackson | 34 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | -8.7 |
| Monty Bowser | 28 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Diego Campisano | 28 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | -7.8 |
| Oakland Fort | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -11.4 |
| Dillan Baker | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -3.7 |
| Leigh Rickwood-Pitt | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Ali Ragab | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.9 |
* = starter