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2025-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Idaho Vandals Portland State Vikings Spread Result
Elo 38.7% 61.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“
Margin 24.9% 75.1% +6.1 โœ“ (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 35.3% 64.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.1% 73.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.1% 73.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.4% 64.6% - โœ“

Actual: Portland State Vikings +12 (75-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho Vandals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kolton Mitchell 40 6-13 2-7 0-0 4 7 2 0 3 14 11 -9.8
Jack Payne 29 5-11 3-8 2-2 7 2 2 1 2 15 14 -9.5
Tyler Mrus 28 2-11 2-11 1-2 2 0 2 0 0 7 0 +0.5
Kristian Gonzalez 25 2-6 0-3 3-5 1 0 2 0 0 7 4 -3.4
Isaiah Brickner 17 0-1 0-0 1-4 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 -15.8
Tyler Linhardt 17 3-6 0-3 3-5 2 0 0 0 0 9 5 +1.5
Ewan Steele 14 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 6 -3.4
Takai Hardy 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 +0.2
Miles Klapper 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 4 -0.6
Jojo Anderson 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -7.6

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylin Henderson 37 5-10 2-4 2-3 6 4 0 0 2 14 12 +10.8
Qiant Myers 32 4-12 1-5 2-5 4 7 0 0 4 11 6 +10.5
T. Minott 30 7-7 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 1 2 16 17 -
Terri Miller Jr. 29 8-13 0-3 1-2 8 1 0 0 1 17 12 +5.4
Isaiah Johnson 21 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 3 6 2 +9.3
Kelcy Phipps 21 2-6 0-0 3-4 6 4 2 0 1 7 12 +7.0
Hayden Curtiss 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 4 +10.3
Cole Farrell 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2.4
Shane Nowell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 3 -1.1

* = starter