Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.2% | 29.8% | -4.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -10 (73-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron Rillie | 35 | 8-12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | +13.8 |
| Langston Reynolds | 35 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | +12.0 |
| Zach Bloch | 30 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -4.1 |
| Isaiah Hawthorne | 29 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | -7.1 |
| Brock Wisne | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | +5.5 |
| Quinn Denker | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | +13.6 |
| Marcell McCreary | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +5.3 |
| Taeshaud Jackson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.9 |
| Egan Shields | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Towt | 39 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 20 | -5.9 |
| Trent McLaughlin | 39 | 13-23 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 21 | -2.6 |
| Jayden Jackson | 34 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 4 | -6.4 |
| Ryan Abelman | 31 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +3.8 |
| Dillan Baker | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +6.3 |
| Leigh Rickwood-Pitt | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -13.1 |
| Monty Bowser | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -9.9 |
| Ali Ragab | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.6 |
| Oakland Fort | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
* = starter