Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.0% | 89.0% | +11.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +18 (92-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolton Mitchell | 36 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +7.5 |
| Tyler Mrus | 26 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | +5.1 |
| Tyler Linhardt | 24 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 12 | +4.5 |
| Jack Payne | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +11.4 |
| Kristian Gonzalez | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | +3.4 |
| Julius Mims | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +6.2 |
| Titus Yearout | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Jayden Stevens | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| Takai Hardy | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.3 |
| Jojo Anderson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.3 |
| Isaiah Brickner | 5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Ewan Steele | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Miles Klapper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langston Reynolds | 33 | 10-15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | -5.5 |
| Isaiah Hawthorne | 31 | 9-11 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15 | -7.1 |
| Jaron Rillie | 29 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -3.7 |
| Zach Bloch | 28 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -9.0 |
| Brock Wisne | 28 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -10.7 |
| Quinn Denker | 23 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | -3.9 |
| Marcell McCreary | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Taeshaud Jackson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Egan Shields | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.7 |
| William Humer | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.0 |
* = starter