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2025-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Portland State Vikings Spread Result
Elo 61.7% 38.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 58.4% 41.6% - โœ—
Margin 62.0% 38.0% -2.7 โœ— (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 53.4% 46.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 69.6% 30.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 69.7% 30.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 55.0% 45.0% - โœ—

Actual: Portland State Vikings +11 (82-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaron Rillie 37 6-12 3-6 4-5 4 4 1 0 2 19 14 -8.3
Langston Reynolds 37 4-10 0-1 1-1 6 3 1 1 5 9 5 -11.6
Isaiah Hawthorne 37 7-12 1-5 4-9 8 0 1 0 2 19 14 -8.8
Quinn Denker 25 3-7 1-2 2-3 4 1 1 0 2 9 6 -9.0
Marcell McCreary 21 2-6 2-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 6 3 -8.8
Zach Bloch 21 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 5 6 -4.8
Brock Wisne 20 2-7 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 4 3 -4.6
Taeshaud Jackson 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -3.1

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Qiant Myers 38 5-12 3-3 3-5 1 6 2 1 2 16 12 +13.5
Jaylin Henderson 37 9-15 1-3 2-3 7 7 1 0 2 21 19 +12.9
Isaiah Johnson 36 1-4 1-2 2-2 6 2 2 0 3 5 8 +9.7
T. Minott 32 3-4 0-0 1-3 10 0 1 4 2 7 16 -
Cole Farrell 27 5-10 2-6 3-3 3 2 1 1 1 15 11 +6.0
Terri Miller Jr. 18 5-11 1-3 2-2 1 2 2 0 3 13 4 -0.4
Isaac Brice 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 4 +4.4
Shane Nowell 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 +4.0

* = starter