Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.3% | 9.7% | -12.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -16 (61-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Hawthorne | 34 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 9-10 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 26 | +9.4 |
| Jaron Rillie | 28 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | +9.2 |
| Langston Reynolds | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +7.2 |
| Brock Wisne | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | +21.8 |
| Quinn Denker | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +12.5 |
| Zach Bloch | 23 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +4.6 |
| Marcell McCreary | 18 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +9.5 |
| Taeshaud Jackson | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -8.1 |
| Egan Shields | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.1 |
| William Humer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Radek Homer | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Ricketts | 40 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | -11.4 |
| Lachlan Brewer | 37 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -10.9 |
| Michael Wilson | 32 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -12.1 |
| Jacob Holt | 27 | 2-13 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -18.9 |
| EJ Neal | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Deonte Williams | 17 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -4.9 |
| Emil Skytta | 14 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Chudi Dioramma | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +6.0 |
* = starter