Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +18 (87-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent McLaughlin | 37 | 6-19 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 4 | -12.2 |
| Carson Towt | 36 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 24 | -11.6 |
| Jayden Jackson | 33 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -11.1 |
| Diego Campisano | 29 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | -17.4 |
| Monty Bowser | 20 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -12.1 |
| Dillan Baker | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | +1.3 |
| Leigh Rickwood-Pitt | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -4.0 |
| Ryan Abelman | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.3 |
| Oakland Fort | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.2 |
| C.J. Ford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Ali Ragab | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +8.2 |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron Rillie | 37 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 9-9 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 26 | +20.8 |
| Isaiah Hawthorne | 33 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | +11.5 |
| Langston Reynolds | 32 | 9-12 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 23 | +15.1 |
| Zach Bloch | 27 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +13.6 |
| Quinn Denker | 23 | 5-11 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | +13.3 |
| Egan Shields | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +14.5 |
| Marcell McCreary | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -4.2 |
| Brock Wisne | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +5.6 |
| Taeshaud Jackson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -14.5 |
* = starter