Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Idaho Vandals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.8% | 25.2% | -6.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Idaho Vandals +1 (77-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron Rillie | 36 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 15 | -4.3 |
| Langston Reynolds | 35 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 11-11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 22 | -11.0 |
| Quinn Denker | 33 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +3.3 |
| Zach Bloch | 32 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +4.3 |
| Brock Wisne | 25 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Marcell McCreary | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -6.0 |
| Egan Shields | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3.2 |
| Taeshaud Jackson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -11.8 |
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolton Mitchell | 34 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 8-9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 19 | +9.9 |
| Tyler Mrus | 29 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +4.5 |
| Jojo Anderson | 28 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +3.6 |
| Tyler Linhardt | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +1.1 |
| Julius Mims | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +5.4 |
| Jack Payne | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +9.1 |
| Kyson Rose | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Kristian Gonzalez | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.8 |
| Isaiah Brickner | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -5.1 |
| Takai Hardy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
* = starter