Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.8% | 96.2% | +17.8 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +4 (68-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Nunn | 40 | 2-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -0.1 |
| EJ Neal | 37 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +3.9 |
| Michael Wilson | 37 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | +0.1 |
| Jacob Holt | 35 | 10-13 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | -0.3 |
| Lachlan Brewer | 31 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -3.6 |
| Chudi Dioramma | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Julian Vaughns | 9 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Leo Ricketts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langston Reynolds | 38 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -0.1 |
| Isaiah Hawthorne | 34 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 10 | -3.7 |
| Zach Bloch | 28 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | -0.1 |
| Jaron Rillie | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | +1.6 |
| Quinn Denker | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Brock Wisne | 18 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 13 | +3.2 |
| Taeshaud Jackson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Marcell McCreary | 11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| William Humer | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
* = starter