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2025-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Portland State Vikings Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 23.7% 76.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% - โœ“
Margin 18.3% 81.7% +8.2 โœ“ (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.4% 75.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.3% 75.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.1% 67.9% - โœ“

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +3 (72-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Johnson 35 5-11 4-8 0-0 5 1 2 0 0 14 11 -0.1
Qiant Myers 35 5-13 3-6 6-8 4 7 1 0 8 19 10 -0.7
T. Minott 32 6-8 0-0 2-3 11 0 0 2 1 14 18 -
Cole Farrell 28 5-7 3-3 0-2 3 1 0 0 0 13 10 -1.5
Jaylin Henderson 28 2-7 1-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 7 3 -1.0
Kelcy Phipps 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 +1.9
Terri Miller Jr. 14 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 1 +3.3
Shane Nowell 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -1.7
Isaac Brice 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +2.2

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaron Rillie 36 4-10 0-3 3-4 6 2 1 0 2 11 8 -0.8
Isaiah Hawthorne 36 8-15 2-7 5-6 7 1 0 1 2 23 15 +2.9
Zach Bloch 28 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 3 +2.0
Brock Wisne 27 6-10 0-0 3-4 4 4 1 0 1 15 13 +0.7
Langston Reynolds 27 3-7 0-0 1-3 5 4 0 1 1 7 9 -3.0
Marcell McCreary 19 1-4 0-2 3-5 3 2 0 1 4 5 3 +0.0
Quinn Denker 14 2-2 1-1 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 6 8 +3.3
Taeshaud Jackson 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 5 +2.5
William Humer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.2

* = starter