Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✗ (24.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies -24 (57-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron Rillie | 33 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | +26.7 |
| Langston Reynolds | 31 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 17 | +31.4 |
| Brock Wisne | 31 | 9-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | +34.4 |
| Isaiah Hawthorne | 30 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 11 | +32.9 |
| Zach Bloch | 20 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +20.4 |
| Quinn Denker | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +7.9 |
| Marcell McCreary | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -9.2 |
| Taeshaud Jackson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -5.9 |
| Egan Shields | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6.1 |
| Radek Homer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
| William Humer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.9 |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Moore | 33 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | -23.4 |
| Brandon Whitney | 29 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -15.1 |
| Money Williams | 28 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 5 | -10.4 |
| Joe Pridgen | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -11.4 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer | 20 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -14.8 |
| Kai Johnson | 18 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | -9.5 |
| Austin Patterson | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -16.3 |
| Jeremiah Dargan | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -6.6 |
| Zack Davidson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -10.5 |
| Amari Jedkins | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +5.9 |
| Jensen Bradtke | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Jalen Foy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter