Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.9% | 46.1% | -0.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats -1 (82-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langston Reynolds | 34 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Jaron Rillie | 33 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -9.2 |
| Zach Bloch | 32 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
| Isaiah Hawthorne | 26 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +6.8 |
| Quinn Denker | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -12.0 |
| Marcell McCreary | 21 | 8-11 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | +12.4 |
| Brock Wisne | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +1.7 |
| Egan Shields | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Taeshaud Jackson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.4 |
| William Humer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Agbonkpolo | 33 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Patrick McMahon | 31 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Tyler Patterson | 31 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +3.8 |
| Jabe Mullins | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | +1.6 |
| Brandon Walker | 24 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | +1.0 |
| Jed Miller | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | -3.6 |
| Brian Goracke | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Sam Lecholat | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +5.3 |
| BJ Kolly | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Chika Nduka | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter