Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.7% | 80.3% | +7.7 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +1 (93-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hollenbeck | 39 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | +1.7 |
| Dylan Darling | 39 | 7-19 | 3-10 | 5-8 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Isaiah Griffin | 37 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Jake O'Neil | 36 | 9-12 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 21 | +5.9 |
| Evan Otten | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | +4.0 |
| Blake Daberkow | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +5.1 |
| AJ Burgin | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -7.1 |
| Jackson Greene | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +2.6 |
| Jaedyn Brown | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.9 |
| Quentin Meza | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langston Reynolds | 42 | 13-15 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 22 | -1.7 |
| Jaron Rillie | 39 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 23 | +4.8 |
| Brock Wisne | 38 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | -3.6 |
| Zach Bloch | 37 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 6-10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -6.4 |
| Isaiah Hawthorne | 31 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 9 | -4.0 |
| Marcell McCreary | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2.2 |
| Quinn Denker | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -1.4 |
| Taeshaud Jackson | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Egan Shields | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.8 |
| William Humer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter