Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Denver Pioneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.5% | 18.5% | -8.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Pioneers -7 (75-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langston Reynolds | 36 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | +6.6 |
| Zach Bloch | 35 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +9.9 |
| Jaron Rillie | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +15.6 |
| Isaiah Hawthorne | 28 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | +5.6 |
| Brock Wisne | 24 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 22 | +8.0 |
| Marcell McCreary | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -10.1 |
| Quinn Denker | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -10.0 |
| Egan Shields | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.3 |
| William Humer | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -0.1 |
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Shogbonyo | 33 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | +3.9 |
| Sebastian Akins | 32 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | -5.5 |
| DeAndre Craig | 32 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Josh Pickett | 29 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -3.1 |
| Josh Lee | 28 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | -1.7 |
| Ben Bowen | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +4.4 |
| Isaiah Addo-Ankrah | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -8.2 |
| Pedro Lopez Sanvicente | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -5.6 |
| Jon Mani | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.4 |
* = starter