Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.4 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +5 (81-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Marshall | 34 | 10-14 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 13 | +0.2 |
| Ethan Taylor | 29 | 1-9 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | +2.9 |
| Jeffrey Mills | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Caleb Walker | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +10.8 |
| Luke Kearney | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 20 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -4.5 |
| Sam Springer | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Will Cooper | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +2.6 |
| Byron Brown | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Sam Duskin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.2 |
| A.J. Patterson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.2 |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langston Reynolds | 36 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 19 | -6.9 |
| Jaron Rillie | 32 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Isaiah Hawthorne | 28 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | -7.2 |
| Zach Bloch | 25 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | -7.9 |
| Brock Wisne | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -7.7 |
| Marcell McCreary | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +4.4 |
| Egan Shields | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +9.3 |
| Quinn Denker | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.0 |
| William Humer | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luca Colceag | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.8 |
* = starter