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2024-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears North Dakota State Bison Spread Result
Elo 49.7% 50.3% -
Bradley-Terry 45.4% 54.6% -
Margin 38.3% 61.7% +2.6 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -
Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.1% 49.9% -
Log Adjusted 50.1% 49.9% -
Points Off/Def 43.0% 57.0% -

Actual: North Dakota State Bison +12 (82-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Hawthorne 36 7-16 1-8 4-4 10 2 3 0 2 19 16 -14.5
Z. Bloch 34 1-9 1-9 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 -3 -13.8
J. Rillie 31 6-13 1-4 2-2 4 2 1 0 1 15 8 -18.2
Q. Denker 27 4-12 1-6 4-4 2 3 2 0 0 13 8 -7.4
B. Wisne 24 2-7 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 -1 -16.3
M. McCreary 21 1-6 0-5 2-4 4 1 4 0 0 4 7 -7.5
L. Colceag 15 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 4 +2.1
W. Humer 10 3-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 4 +4.9
E. Shields 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

North Dakota State Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Watkins 31 4-6 1-2 2-2 7 3 1 0 3 11 13 +17.8
M. Miller 30 3-4 3-4 2-3 1 0 0 0 1 11 7 -
N. Feddersen 29 2-5 1-2 0-0 11 0 0 0 3 5 8 +13.2
J. Moni 25 6-9 1-3 5-6 7 4 1 0 4 18 17 +16.0
J. White 23 4-11 2-5 1-1 2 2 0 1 2 11 3 +14.5
T. Miller 22 4-11 1-4 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 11 2 -
D. Dissette 17 4-4 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 0 0 10 8 -2.7
L. Kasubke 13 1-2 0-1 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 3 4 -3.0
A. Stefonowicz 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1.7
T. Anderson 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter