Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | California Baptist Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.2% | 49.8% | -0.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: California Baptist Lancers -11 (68-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rillie * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | +9.4 |
| L. Reynolds * | 33 | 9-17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 7 | +4.5 |
| I. Hawthorne * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | +2.4 |
| B. Wisne * | 26 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +7.3 |
| Z. Bloch * | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +14.4 |
| Q. Denker | 22 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -5.6 |
| E. Shields | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
| M. McCreary | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | +4.6 |
| L. Colceag | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.7 |
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Daniels Jr. * | 36 | 9-21 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 4 | -8.2 |
| J. Johnson * | 29 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -8.2 |
| M. Williams * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +7.9 |
| K. Coleman * | 24 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +7.2 |
| AJ Braun * | 20 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | -2.8 |
| S. Silverstein | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -10.8 |
| B. Stevenson | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.3 |
| T. Riley | 13 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -6.1 |
| A. Moussa | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -10.8 |
| B. Henige | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
* = starter