Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern State Demons | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +11.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +18 (84-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Sanders | 29 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -16.6 |
| Landyn Jumawan | 29 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | -10.1 |
| Love Bettis | 26 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | -17.8 |
| Willie Williams | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -8.4 |
| JT Warren | 23 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -10.5 |
| Lado Laku | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Jerald Colonel | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -8.5 |
| Micah Thomas | 12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -1.6 |
| Chris Mubiru | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3.8 |
| Addison Patterson | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6.9 |
| J.C. Riley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
| Dontae Walker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrej Stojakovic | 35 | 10-14 | 4-6 | 7-8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 30 | +16.7 |
| Rytis Petraitis | 33 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | +18.1 |
| Jovan Blacksher Jr. | 32 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | +14.6 |
| Mady Sissoko | 29 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | +17.1 |
| Joshua Ola-Joseph | 24 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | +13.0 |
| Jeremiah Wilkinson | 22 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | +4.4 |
| Lee Dort | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +2.9 |
| Spencer Mahoney | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -2.1 |
| Christian Tucker | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter