Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.7% | 95.3% | +16.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies +19 (71-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olumide Adelodun | 31 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 9 | -21.4 |
| Zion Russell | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | -16.4 |
| Justice Smith | 26 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jaeden Marshall | 25 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | -6.6 |
| Justin Page | 25 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -23.7 |
| Jhaylon Martinez | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Will Shortt | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -9.9 |
| Jahari Williamson | 17 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -11.6 |
| Damondre Mcknight | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| James Henderson Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3.0 |
| S. Cole | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Council Jr. | 39 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 21 | +20.3 |
| Chance Moore | 37 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +18.3 |
| Lajae Jones | 36 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | +20.3 |
| Jonah Hinton | 35 | 3-11 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +22.4 |
| Noel Brown | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -2.0 |
| Xander Wedlow | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +21.0 |
| Noah Bolanga | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | -4.0 |
| Duane Thompson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Miles Rose | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter