Model Predictions
| Model | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.8% | 25.2% | -6.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Siena Saints -17 (48-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moore | 36 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | +15.5 |
| M. Council Jr. | 33 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | +25.6 |
| L. Jones | 29 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +25.6 |
| N. Brown | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +22.0 |
| J. Hinton | 25 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7 | -2.4 |
| N. Bolanga | 22 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +13.3 |
| D. Thompson | 11 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | -8.1 |
| X. Wedlow | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +7.8 |
| M. Rose | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -10.1 |
| M. Folarin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -10.1 |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shoats | 31 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | -15.5 |
| B. Coyle | 27 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -26.7 |
| M. Freeman | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | -21.9 |
| G. Doty | 23 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +4.0 |
| M. Jackson | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12.3 |
| T. Jones | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +0.4 |
| D. Brafford | 16 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | +8.5 |
| M. Wilmoth | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -13.7 |
| P. Carey | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.8 |
| K. Winters | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +10.0 |
| R. Ducharme | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.8 |
| B. Smith | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter