Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | +2.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies +14 (70-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keonte Jones * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | -12.9 |
| Scotty Washington * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +1.9 |
| PJ Fuller II * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -9.9 |
| Grady Lewis * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -11.8 |
| Marcus Adams Jr. * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Tyler Beard | 23 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -7.6 |
| Judson Martindale | 20 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -12.8 |
| Mahmoud Fofana | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -18.0 |
| Festus Ndumanya | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +3.3 |
| Jalen Barbee | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.2 |
| Sabien Cain | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.0 |
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Edwards | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Melvin Council Jr. * | 33 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 3 | +8.1 |
| Dasonte Bowen * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 9-13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +12.9 |
| Lajae Jones * | 32 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 10 | +10.9 |
| Chance Moore * | 28 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 4-7 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | -0.8 |
| Noel Brown * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -1.1 |
| Michael Folarin | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7 | +18.7 |
| Jonah Hinton | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2.0 |
| Noah Bolanga | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +11.8 |
| Duane Thompson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Xander Wedlow | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
* = starter