Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Louis Billikens | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | +2.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +4 (81-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gibson Jimerson | 40 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | -5.5 |
| Isaiah Swope | 35 | 7-15 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | -4.6 |
| Kalu Anya | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | -1.5 |
| Kobe Johnson | 31 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -9.5 |
| Robbie Avila | 30 | 10-17 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 17 | -5.7 |
| Kellen Thames | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5.7 |
| Kilian Brockhoff | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Dylan Warlick | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Amari McCottry | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.2 |
| Max Pikaar | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger | 36 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | +5.7 |
| Chase Walker | 31 | 10-15 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 21 | -2.7 |
| Dalton Banks | 31 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +14.2 |
| Landon Wolf | 26 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +6.8 |
| Malachi Poindexter | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Ty Pence | 24 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +8.4 |
| Jordan Davis | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -3.5 |
| Caden Boser | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Jack Daugherty | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
* = starter