Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Saint Louis Billikens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Louis Billikens +23 (85-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Crawford | 33 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | -20.9 |
| Jalen Forrest | 26 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | -16.2 |
| Troy McKoy Jr. | 24 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Cameron Jernigan | 22 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -10.4 |
| Gabe Spinelli | 21 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Matthew Robinson | 21 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -4.4 |
| Saxby Sunderland | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -15.5 |
| CJ Delancy | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -11.5 |
| Greg Spate | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Joe Spinelli | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dailliss Cox | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Michael Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Swope | 37 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 7 | +19.8 |
| Gibson Jimerson | 37 | 5-14 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | +20.1 |
| Robbie Avila | 32 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | +15.5 |
| Kalu Anya | 31 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 21 | +19.9 |
| Kellen Thames | 23 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +10.7 |
| Amari McCottry | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +8.1 |
| Max Pikaar | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +3.2 |
| Kilian Brockhoff | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Isaac Holmes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Jaden Schertz | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
* = starter