Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | South Carolina Upstate Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.5% | 17.5% | -8.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Carolina Upstate Spartans -8 (64-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Galette | 35 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | +4.6 |
| Jason Nelson | 29 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +6.2 |
| Ty Harper | 27 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Juwan Maxey | 25 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +9.6 |
| E.J. Farmer | 25 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +6.4 |
| Cris Carroll | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -12.5 |
| David Wilkerson | 15 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Christian Kirkland | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Gabe Dynes | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +8.0 |
South Carolina Upstate Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Adkins | 35 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | -3.9 |
| Karmani Gregory | 33 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Mister Dean | 28 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 18 | -5.9 |
| Breylin Garcia | 27 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 10 | +4.6 |
| Isaiah Skinner | 22 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.8 |
| Andrew McConnell | 20 | 0-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | -10.7 |
| Chico Johnson | 20 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -3.4 |
| Nic Book | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | +1.0 |
* = starter