Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Winthrop Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.5% | 83.5% | +8.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Winthrop Eagles +5 (102-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmad Robinson | 34 | 10-19 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 15 | -2.7 |
| Alex Holt | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Tyler Johnson | 25 | 6-13 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Cam Bryant | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2.9 |
| A. Montas Jr. | 21 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 3-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | -4.1 |
| Brady Shoulders | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Jah Nze | 18 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +5.2 |
| Laurynas Vaistaras | 16 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +4.2 |
| Marcus Overstreet | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | -1.5 |
| Jah Quinones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 |
Winthrop Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Johnson | 32 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 6-9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | +3.8 |
| Kelton Talford | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 22 | +10.1 |
| Kasen Harrison | 30 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16 | -0.4 |
| K.J. Doucet | 28 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 5-10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Paul Jones III | 21 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +4.6 |
| Bryce Baker | 20 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | -4.8 |
| Ryan Jolly | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Tai Hamilton | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4.7 |
| Isaiah Wilson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | +2.4 |
| Tommy Kamarad | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +8.7 |
| Logan Duncomb | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.2 |
| Yoro Diallo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.2 |
* = starter