Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | Winthrop Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Winthrop Eagles +1 (86-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Dorsey * | 30 | 5-14 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | +3.4 |
| Keller Boothby * | 25 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Chase Lowe * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | -4.7 |
| Malachi Ndur * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | +10.9 |
| Noah Collier * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +8.7 |
| Kyle Frazier | 25 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | -9.9 |
| Kyle Pulliam | 24 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Matteus Case | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -4.1 |
| Finn Lally | 15 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | +1.6 |
| Miles Hicks | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +9.6 |
| Isaiah Mbeng | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -5.7 |
Winthrop Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasen Harrison * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | -1.6 |
| Bryce Baker * | 31 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | +11.3 |
| Kelton Talford * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | -0.0 |
| Tommy Kamarad * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +10.2 |
| K.J. Doucet * | 9 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Nick Johnson | 27 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | +3.6 |
| Ryan Jolly | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3.6 |
| Paul Jones III | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.4 |
| Yoro Diallo | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8.3 |
| Tai Hamilton | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Isaiah Wilson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -7.2 |
| Logan Duncomb | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -4.1 |
* = starter