Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Winthrop Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.0% | 79.0% | +7.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Winthrop Eagles +15 (82-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson * | 37 | 8-19 | 5-10 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 21 | -12.6 |
| Mwani Wilkinson * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 | -14.6 |
| Jordan Jefferson * | 28 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | -12.5 |
| Ante Beljan * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -19.1 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | +10.5 |
| Isaiah Lewis | 25 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | -13.0 |
| Kristiyan Popov | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -3.8 |
| Christian Hughes | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Creed Williamson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | +1.1 |
Winthrop Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasen Harrison * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 19 | +19.3 |
| Kelton Talford * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | +13.5 |
| K.J. Doucet * | 27 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 16 | +16.3 |
| Bryce Baker * | 24 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Tommy Kamarad * | 13 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +7.7 |
| Paul Jones III | 21 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +24.8 |
| Ryan Jolly | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | +4.1 |
| Nick Johnson | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +7.7 |
| Logan Duncomb | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -2.1 |
| Isaiah Wilson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -5.0 |
| Tai Hamilton | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.9 |
| Yoro Diallo | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Cam Christy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Noah Van Bibber | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Henry Harrison | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter