Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.3% | 84.7% | +9.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks +11 (85-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Banks | 35 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | -4.9 |
| Jordan Marsh | 35 | 9-21 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 12 | +5.8 |
| Greg Gantt Jr. | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | -1.3 |
| Toyaz Solomon | 31 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2.4 |
| Fletcher Abee | 27 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Kameron Taylor | 24 | 8-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | -10.0 |
| Jemal Davis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Connor Dubsky | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.4 |
| Sage Tolentino | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Newby | 33 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | +12.0 |
| Nolan Hodge | 33 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | +8.1 |
| Josh Corbin | 32 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +4.6 |
| Noah Ross | 21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +10.7 |
| Sean Moore | 21 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Harlan Obioha | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | -5.4 |
| G. Williams | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Bo Montgomery | 14 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +12.2 |
| Khamari McGriff | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -7.4 |
* = starter