Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.7% | 71.3% | +5.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Cougars -5 (80-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Sears * | 41 | 4-13 | 4-8 | 12-14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 17 | +5.0 |
| Grant Nelson * | 40 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | +5.8 |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. * | 28 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +1.3 |
| Clifford Omoruyi * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Labaron Philon * | 15 | 0-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -5 | +6.3 |
| Mouhamed Dioubate | 28 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 23 | -1.8 |
| Aden Holloway | 26 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +12.9 |
| Derrion Reid | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Jarin Stevenson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Aiden Sherrell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +2.0 |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.J. Cryer * | 42 | 9-26 | 2-8 | 10-10 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 8 | +0.4 |
| J'Wan Roberts * | 38 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Emanuel Sharp * | 30 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | -2.8 |
| Milos Uzan * | 12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +8.3 |
| Ja'Vier Francis * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Joseph Tugler | 31 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 14 | -7.9 |
| Mylik Wilson | 24 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3.0 |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -14.1 |
| Mercy Miller | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4.7 |
| Ramon Walker Jr. | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +2.8 |
* = starter