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2024-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 34.5% 65.5% -
Bradley-Terry 32.1% 67.9% -
Margin 28.7% 71.3% +5.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% -
Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.9% 82.1% -
Log Adjusted 17.6% 82.4% -
Points Off/Def 36.9% 63.1% -

Actual: Houston Cougars -5 (80-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Sears * 41 4-13 4-8 12-14 4 3 1 0 2 24 17 +5.0
G. Nelson * 40 4-8 1-3 4-6 10 0 2 0 4 13 13 +5.8
L. Wrightsell Jr. * 28 3-6 3-6 3-4 0 2 1 0 1 12 8 +1.3
C. Omoruyi * 17 1-1 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 1 1 4 6 +0.4
L. Philon * 15 0-9 0-3 1-2 3 2 0 1 3 1 -5 +6.3
M. Dioubate 28 3-8 0-1 4-4 16 1 1 3 0 10 23 -1.8
A. Holloway 26 5-8 2-4 2-2 3 3 0 0 1 14 11 +12.9
D. Reid 18 2-5 1-4 1-2 1 2 0 1 1 6 4 +0.7
J. Stevenson 10 0-1 0-1 1-3 3 1 0 0 0 1 4 +2.2
A. Sherrell 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +2.0

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L.J. Cryer * 42 9-26 2-8 10-10 0 2 3 0 1 30 8 +0.4
J. Roberts * 38 3-4 0-0 5-7 1 0 0 2 2 11 8 -1.3
E. Sharp * 30 3-11 2-6 6-8 6 1 1 0 1 14 10 -2.8
M. Uzan * 12 2-5 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 5 0 +8.3
J. Francis * 12 0-1 0-0 2-3 2 0 2 0 2 2 3 +1.3
J. Tugler 31 1-5 0-2 0-1 8 2 1 8 2 2 14 -7.9
M. Wilson 24 3-9 1-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 7 4 +3.0
T. Arceneaux 21 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 2 0 1 5 7 -14.1
M. Miller 8 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 -4.7
R. Walker Jr. 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 +2.8

* = starter