Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.6% | 80.4% | +7.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks +10 (78-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Byrd * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | -8.4 |
| BJ Davis * | 30 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | -6.2 |
| Magoon Gwath * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -2.8 |
| Nick Boyd * | 29 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | -15.6 |
| J. Coleman-Jones * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Taj Degourville | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +7.8 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | -8.9 |
| Wayne Mckinney Iii | 15 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -3.7 |
| Miles Heide | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +0.2 |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Shelstad * | 36 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +8.4 |
| TJ Bamba * | 35 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 4-7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | +14.3 |
| Brandon Angel * | 30 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +15.5 |
| Nate Bittle * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | +4.7 |
| Jadrian Tracey * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Keeshawn Barthelemy | 25 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +9.6 |
| Kwame Evans Jr. | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Supreme Cook | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mookie Cook | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Ra'Heim Moss | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
* = starter