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2025-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Xavier Musketeers Butler Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 71.0% 29.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 63.7% 36.3% - โœ“
Margin 62.6% 37.4% -2.8 โœ“ (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.6% 43.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 57.5% 42.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.8% 31.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 68.9% 31.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.8% 45.2% - โœ“

Actual: Butler Bulldogs -13 (78-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Conwell 35 6-12 5-8 4-4 1 4 2 0 0 21 16 +12.0
Dailyn Swain 33 6-11 0-1 4-4 10 2 3 1 2 16 19 -1.5
Zach Freemantle 31 12-17 0-1 0-0 8 2 2 2 1 24 20 +6.4
Marcus Foster 29 0-4 0-3 0-0 6 4 0 0 1 0 5 +21.0
Dayvion McKnight 27 3-7 1-2 6-6 3 1 1 0 0 13 11 +11.2
Jerome Hunter 19 4-4 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 9 6 +7.9
Dante Maddox Jr. 17 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -4 -4.1
John Hugley IV 9 2-4 1-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 6 5 +4.7

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jahmyl Telfort 40 7-10 3-5 3-4 6 3 1 2 5 20 17 -5.1
Finley Bizjack 39 5-11 2-7 7-7 3 3 0 1 1 19 14 -9.5
Patrick McCaffery 34 3-6 3-6 2-4 5 2 1 0 1 11 12 -2.5
Pierre Brooks 31 5-13 3-6 2-2 4 3 0 0 1 15 8 -3.5
Andre Screen 22 2-4 0-0 4-5 5 3 0 0 0 8 12 -5.8
Boden Kapke 19 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 5 4 -3.2
Landon Moore 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -4.5
Kolby King 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -6.9

* = starter