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2025-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Marquette Golden Eagles UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 28.4% 71.6% -
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% -
Margin 38.7% 61.3% +2.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% -
Log Adjusted 45.8% 54.2% -
Points Off/Def 43.7% 56.3% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +6 (72-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Joplin 39 7-13 3-6 6-6 5 0 0 1 1 23 15 -2.6
K. Jones 36 9-20 0-5 3-6 4 1 3 1 1 21 9 +2.1
S. Mitchell 35 4-8 0-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 8 5 -5.3
B. Gold 25 2-2 0-0 1-1 3 0 1 2 1 5 8 -3.9
C. Ross 25 3-9 0-4 1-1 2 3 1 0 1 7 3 -7.6
Z. Lowery 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.2
R. Parham 15 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 1 0 2 6 -3.6
D. Owens 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.2
T. Norman 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.8

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Karaban 38 6-13 3-6 6-6 7 1 0 2 0 21 18 +5.3
S. Ball 37 3-10 1-5 3-3 5 3 0 2 0 10 10 +11.5
L. McNeeley 31 4-18 3-9 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 11 -3 -3.7
H. Diarra 31 3-6 0-0 4-4 5 5 1 0 3 10 12 +9.6
S. Johnson 26 5-8 0-0 0-1 11 1 1 2 2 10 15 +3.1
T. Reed Jr. 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 4 7 +5.9
A. Mahaney 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 +2.5
J. Stewart 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 +12.8
J. Ross 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.7

* = starter