Model Predictions
| Model | St. John's Red Storm | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.9% | 19.1% | -7.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs -6 (70-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Scott | 38 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +4.2 |
| RJ Luis Jr. | 37 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 10 | +6.6 |
| Kadary Richmond | 33 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 19 | +8.4 |
| Deivon Smith | 32 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Zuby Ejiofor | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +11.8 |
| Simeon Wilcher | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Vincent Iwuchukwu | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -9.7 |
| Sadiku Ibine Ayo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.4 |
| Rubén Prey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyl Telfort | 37 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | +2.6 |
| Pierre Brooks | 32 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Patrick McCaffery | 29 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -5.4 |
| Kolby King | 24 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +6.1 |
| Finley Bizjack | 24 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Andre Screen | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -7.6 |
| Boden Kapke | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +8.6 |
| Landon Moore | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | +3.5 |
* = starter