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St. John's Red Storm 76
@
Butler Bulldogs 70
2025-02-26

Model Predictions

Model St. John's Red Storm Butler Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 82.2% 17.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 87.4% 12.6% - ✓
Margin 80.9% 19.1% -7.9 ✓ (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 61.1% 38.9% - ✓
Efficiency 61.7% 38.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 87.8% 12.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 87.8% 12.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 67.5% 32.5% - ✓

Actual: Butler Bulldogs -6 (70-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Scott 38 3-7 1-4 1-2 6 0 2 0 0 8 9 +4.2
R. Luis 37 9-16 3-6 3-4 4 1 2 0 5 24 10 +6.6
K. Richmond 33 4-8 0-1 5-6 6 5 3 1 1 13 19 +8.4
D. Smith 32 4-13 0-4 2-2 6 2 1 0 1 10 5 +1.8
Z. Ejiofor 23 5-8 0-0 2-3 4 3 0 0 0 12 11 +11.8
S. Wilcher 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 -3.3
V. Iwuchukwu 14 3-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 7 5 -9.7
S. Ibine Ayo 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -5.4
R. Prey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Telfort 37 5-11 1-4 2-2 7 2 0 0 3 13 8 +2.6
P. Brooks 32 5-14 2-7 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 12 0 -2.4
P. McCaffery 29 3-6 1-4 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 9 8 -5.4
K. King 24 3-9 1-4 4-5 6 1 2 0 2 11 9 +6.1
F. Bizjack 24 3-11 0-5 2-2 2 4 2 0 1 8 4 -0.9
A. Screen 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 3 1 4 9 -7.6
B. Kapke 18 3-6 1-3 5-5 4 0 1 0 0 12 11 +8.6
L. Moore 15 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 1 1 1 4 +3.5

* = starter