Model Predictions
| Model | Marquette Golden Eagles | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✗ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +15 (81-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jones | 31 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2.9 |
| C. Ross | 31 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | -6.8 |
| Z. Lowery | 26 | 9-10 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 24 | +0.3 |
| D. Owens | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | +7.5 |
| D. Joplin | 22 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | -13.0 |
| R. Parham | 22 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -5.3 |
| S. Mitchell | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.6 |
| B. Gold | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1.8 |
| C. Hamilton | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.7 |
| T. Norman | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +7.3 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Longino | 37 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -2.1 |
| E. Dixon | 36 | 7-17 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | +0.1 |
| J. Brickus | 31 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | +1.1 |
| W. Poplar | 31 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | +6.0 |
| E. Boakye | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +11.6 |
| T. Perkins | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -5.4 |
| J. Dumont | 16 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | +5.6 |
* = starter