Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +7 (66-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wooga Poplar | 38 | 7-21 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 2 | -7.6 |
| Tyler Perkins | 35 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1.1 |
| Jordan Longino | 35 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | -11.3 |
| Eric Dixon | 34 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 9-12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | -4.4 |
| Jhamir Brickus | 31 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -6.3 |
| Enoch Boakye | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6.9 |
| Josiah Moseley | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +9.0 |
| Jordann Dumont | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Kris Parker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam McNeeley | 39 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 9-9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | +7.8 |
| Solo Ball | 36 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +19.0 |
| Hassan Diarra | 35 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | +19.2 |
| Alex Karaban | 35 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +4.6 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 18 | +14.2 |
| Samson Johnson | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4.4 |
| Jaylin Stewart | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +5.3 |
| Ahmad Nowell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.7 |
| Jayden Ross | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.7 |
| Aidan Mahaney | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.7 |
* = starter