Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.9% | 35.1% | -3.4 | ✗ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Providence Friars +13 (75-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wooga Poplar | 38 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | -22.9 |
| Jordan Longino | 37 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | -16.9 |
| Eric Dixon | 34 | 6-15 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | -18.1 |
| Jhamir Brickus | 34 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | -12.9 |
| Tyler Perkins | 30 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Enoch Boakye | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -19.2 |
| Josiah Moseley | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.5 |
| Jordann Dumont | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.4 |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Pierre | 40 | 6-14 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | +21.5 |
| Bensley Joseph | 38 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | +25.6 |
| Ryan Mela | 32 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 21 | +13.7 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +20.1 |
| Rich Barron | 30 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +13.6 |
| Justyn Fernandez | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +12.4 |
| Christ Essandoko | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +5.6 |
| Eli DeLaurier | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3.5 |
* = starter