Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.7% | 26.3% | -5.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars -9 (82-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayvion McKnight | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +6.5 |
| Ryan Conwell | 31 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | +0.9 |
| Dailyn Swain | 31 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | +2.7 |
| Dante Maddox Jr. | 30 | 7-11 | 6-9 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 19 | +6.0 |
| Marcus Foster | 28 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -7.8 |
| Zach Freemantle | 25 | 7-15 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | -12.0 |
| Jerome Hunter | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1.4 |
| John Hugley IV | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +18.1 |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Pierre | 37 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 1 | -5.1 |
| Bensley Joseph | 35 | 7-14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +14.2 |
| Justyn Fernandez | 32 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Rich Barron | 30 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Ryan Mela | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | -0.6 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse | 21 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +8.5 |
| Anton Bonke | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -5.3 |
| Nilavan Daniels | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.5 |
| Eli DeLaurier | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -10.2 |
* = starter