Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | +0.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +12 (80-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Conwell | 36 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5.9 |
| Dayvion McKnight | 34 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | -7.0 |
| Zach Freemantle | 33 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 6 | -2.7 |
| Dante Maddox Jr. | 31 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 23 | +0.3 |
| Marcus Foster | 31 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -6.3 |
| Jerome Hunter | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -8.3 |
| Dailyn Swain | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -12.2 |
| John Hugley IV | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.8 |
| Cam'Ron Fletcher | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.3 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wooga Poplar | 37 | 8-17 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 19 | +13.5 |
| Jordan Longino | 34 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +14.7 |
| Eric Dixon | 34 | 8-16 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 12 | +18.6 |
| Jhamir Brickus | 30 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | +4.1 |
| Tyler Perkins | 26 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | +14.2 |
| Enoch Boakye | 26 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +10.6 |
| Jordann Dumont | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Josiah Moseley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10.1 |
* = starter