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2025-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Georgetown Hoyas Xavier Musketeers Spread Result
Elo 10.3% 89.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 34.2% 65.8% - โœ“
Margin 13.8% 86.2% +10.1 โœ“ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.9% 58.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.2% 80.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.9% 81.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“

Actual: Xavier Musketeers +5 (74-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgetown Hoyas

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Thomas Sorber 40 8-12 0-2 1-4 3 2 1 2 1 17 12 +4.7
Micah Peavy 40 11-19 3-6 2-3 4 4 2 1 3 27 16 +3.4
Malik Mack 38 4-15 1-8 4-4 4 8 2 0 3 13 9 +0.4
Caleb Williams 29 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 1 3 3 5 +2.2
C. Williams 24 2-3 1-2 1-2 2 2 1 0 0 6 8 -
Drew Fielder 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 3 4 -1.1
Jordan Burks 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.6
Austin Montgomery 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 +1.9
Kayvaun Mulready 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.2

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Freemantle 34 7-12 1-4 2-2 3 2 2 0 1 17 11 -2.1
Dailyn Swain 34 8-11 0-0 2-2 6 4 0 0 1 18 16 +2.5
Ryan Conwell 32 3-12 1-7 4-5 4 4 2 1 1 11 9 -1.9
Dayvion McKnight 31 0-4 0-1 2-2 1 3 0 0 4 2 -2 -2.1
Marcus Foster 27 5-7 3-3 4-4 13 2 1 0 3 17 23 +4.4
Dante Maddox Jr. 19 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 2 2 0 2 6 6 -2.1
Jerome Hunter 16 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 +0.5
John Hugley IV 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 2 1 +1.8

* = starter