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2025-02-01

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 55.8% 44.2% -
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% -
Margin 36.7% 63.3% +3.0 (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% -
Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% -
Log Adjusted 48.2% 51.8% -
Points Off/Def 42.7% 57.3% -

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -8 (69-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Karaban 40 4-8 1-4 6-6 4 3 2 2 2 15 16 +10.0
S. Ball 39 7-11 7-9 4-4 11 3 0 1 2 25 27 +13.6
S. Johnson 27 4-4 0-0 5-5 4 0 0 1 2 13 12 +11.5
J. Ross 27 1-2 0-1 0-1 1 2 0 1 1 2 3 +6.8
H. Diarra 25 2-3 1-1 0-1 4 7 0 0 4 5 9 +9.5
J. Stewart 21 3-5 3-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 6 9 5 +2.3
T. Reed Jr. 13 3-6 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 1 1 6 3 -0.0
A. Mahaney 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 2 -3 +3.5

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Jones 38 9-20 1-5 3-8 1 3 2 0 1 22 7 +2.5
C. Ross 37 7-13 3-4 2-4 4 0 0 0 2 19 8 -13.8
S. Mitchell 29 3-10 0-3 0-0 4 2 5 1 0 6 8 -3.4
D. Joplin 29 4-10 3-6 2-2 5 0 1 1 3 13 7 -9.5
B. Gold 21 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -10.4
R. Parham 20 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 5 3 -1.6
Z. Lowery 8 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -4.0
T. Norman 7 0-2 0-1 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.4
C. Hamilton 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 1 0 2 4 +5.0
D. Owens 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.0

* = starter