Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | +0.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +4 (76-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solo Ball | 39 | 6-17 | 3-11 | 5-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 12 | +5.2 |
| Samson Johnson | 31 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 17 | +3.5 |
| Alex Karaban | 31 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Hassan Diarra | 26 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | +5.8 |
| Jayden Ross | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8.2 |
| Aidan Mahaney | 23 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Jaylin Stewart | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.4 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4.0 |
| Ahmad Nowell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.8 |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Freemantle | 36 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 4-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 9 | -3.1 |
| Dayvion McKnight | 33 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Dailyn Swain | 32 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +0.8 |
| Ryan Conwell | 32 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +4.7 |
| Marcus Foster | 27 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +4.0 |
| Dante Maddox Jr. | 23 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | +11.7 |
| Jerome Hunter | 13 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | -3.1 |
| John Hugley IV | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.9 |
* = starter