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2025-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Georgetown Hoyas Providence Friars Spread Result
Elo 49.7% 50.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 54.2% 45.8% - โœ—
Margin 42.6% 57.4% +1.7 โœ“ (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 53.8% 46.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 51.8% 48.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 51.8% 48.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.8% 54.2% - โœ“

Actual: Providence Friars +10 (78-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgetown Hoyas

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Thomas Sorber 40 10-17 2-3 3-3 15 2 2 3 1 25 29 -9.5
Micah Peavy 40 12-19 1-3 2-3 2 2 1 0 3 27 10 -10.8
Malik Mack 37 2-9 1-4 3-5 2 3 1 0 2 8 3 -9.2
Jayden Epps 35 3-14 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 6 -7 -8.1
Caleb Williams 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 2 -9.3
Drew Fielder 16 1-1 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 2 1 2 6 -2.2
C. Williams 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Jordan Burks 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.6

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayden Pierre 40 7-12 0-5 0-0 1 2 2 1 1 14 7 +12.4
Bensley Joseph 32 4-10 2-3 4-5 6 2 0 0 1 14 11 +14.2
Corey Floyd Jr. 32 4-9 0-2 3-4 5 5 0 2 1 11 13 +12.2
Ryan Mela 23 1-11 0-3 1-2 5 4 1 0 1 3 1 +6.3
Oswin Erhunmwunse 22 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 2 1 10 12 +15.5
Christ Essandoko 17 2-5 1-2 1-2 7 0 1 1 0 6 10 +0.6
Jabri Abdur-Rahim 15 2-3 2-3 6-6 2 1 1 0 0 12 13 +13.8
Justyn Fernandez 14 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 5 4 -0.3
Wesley Cardet 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -11.6

* = starter